What scientific value have the polls in Haiti? The war has already begun

A "communications company" virtually unknown so far and called DAGMAR credits the presidential candidate of the platform Repon Peyizan, Joseph Michel Martelly, 60.3% of voting intentions (3204 votes), not giving that 39 , 7% (2106 votes) to the candidate of the Rally of Progressive National Democrats, Mirlande H. Manigat Has been learned by the online agency AHP. The firm claims to have interviewed 7,000 people in its first poll for the second round of presidential elections announced for March 20.
Meanwhile another new organization while also "Student Network of Haiti" (WER), has also published the results of an opinion poll conducted on a sample of 2834 people.
According to the survey, 32.75% of respondents declared themselves in favor of the candidate Repon Peyizan against 54.23% for Mirlande Manigat. Many consider that polls conducted in Haiti do not really scientific value, but rather can have an influence on the electorate who may be inclined to lean in one direction or another.
The election campaign began Feb. 17 at the invitation the day before the Provisional Electoral Council, although President Rene Preval has not yet summoned the people in his comics. The candidate NPDR (70 years) who campaigned before a large crowd in Cité Soleil and Solino the past weekend, two major neighborhoods of the capital, has been criticized for a kind of lassitude and lack of energy During his interventions.
As for Michel Martelly (49 years) who also drained thousands of people in the north, was the object of vilification for what many consider to be a leader back in time with Sweet Micky swaying and other "grouillades ", who fear the worst his supporters.
Meanwhile, supporters of the cancellation of games from 28 November 2010 to widespread fraud camped on their position, saying the confusion that has surrounded this election and the circumstances under which the PRC has released the "results of the Feb. 3" with only 4 signatures of 8, can plunge the country into more uncertainty.
Two presidential candidates unhappy, Jean-Yves Henry Céant and crystalline, have sent a letter of warning to President Rene Preval to dissuade him from publishing the "results of the February 3" in the official gazette the Monitor, not to get punished Judgement of the High Court of Justice. They have also done their intention to prosecute the president of the CEP Gaillot Dorsinvil and CEO Pierre-Louis Opont to false results.